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Dealing with future uncertainty is a significant challenge for decision-makers. In this talk, Professor Holger Maier will present two bottom-up approaches to dealing with such uncertainty that is focused on how to influence factors that impact decisions, rather than on drivers of change. These approaches will be presented in the context of reservoir and natural hazard risk management.

Holger is a Professor of Environmental Engineering at the University of Adelaide. His interests are in developing and applying methods that result in sustainable outcomes, especially when dealing with complex systems in an uncertain environment. Examples of this include the development of decision support systems for long-term disaster risk reduction under a range of plausible futures, the development of innovative bottom-up climate impact assessment methods, the development of adaptive approaches to urban stormwater management using smart technologies and the development of approaches supporting the decarbonisation of the gas industry. Holger is a Fellow of the Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, a recipient of the Biennial Medal of the International Environmental Modelling and Simulation Society and an Editor of Environmental Modelling and Software.